Nvidia Remains a Buy on AI Growth Prospects Despite Technical Red Flags

Despite technical red flags, Nvidia remains a buy for investors due to its strong growth prospects in artificial intelligence. The company's focus on AI technology has positioned it as a leader in the industry. Despite some challenges, analysts are optimistic about Nvidia's future performance. Investors are advised to keep an eye on the company's developments in the AI sector.

I recently returned from NVIDIA’s GTC AI Conference in San Jose, California. This year’s event was completely sold out, with an estimated 20,000 investors, engineers, and business leaders in attendance. CEO Jensen Huang likes to call the annual get-together the “Super Bowl of AI,” and after seeing his keynote, I understand why.

Despite NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA)’s stock flashing a bearish “death cross”—its 50-day moving average slipped below the 200-day moving average for the first time since January 2023—the energy at the conference was electrifying. Every major industry was represented, from health care to defense, signaling that artificial intelligence (AI) is expanding at a white-knuckle clip.

NVIDIA’s Vision for AI Agents

During his approximately two-hour presentation, Huang described a future where AI agents will transform entire industries, making businesses more efficient, aerospace and defense more advanced, and markets more intelligent. In other words, if you thought ChatGPT was impressive, you haven’t seen anything yet.

Huang spoke extensively about “agentic AI,” or AI that doesn’t just retrieve data but perceives, reasons, and acts on your behalf. In his example, AI agents “can go to a website, interpret words and videos, maybe even play a video, learn from it, understand it—and then use that new knowledge to complete its task.”

To understand this better, imagine you work on Wall Street. An AI agent could scan earnings reports, build models, and execute trades faster than a human could. In health care, AI agents will be able to diagnose diseases, assist in surgeries, and manage hospital logistics—all with limited human supervision. Perhaps the biggest impact will be in aerospace and defense.

The Impact on Aerospace and Defense

Huang made a bold prediction: “Everything that moves will be autonomous.” This suggests a future with AI-powered drones, cybersecurity defense systems, battlefield robots, and much more. The U.S. military is already testing AI systems that can independently identify threats and make tactical, split-second decisions in real-time.

As I shared with you last month, the global AI market in aerospace and defense is projected to surge from approximately $28 billion today to $65 billion by 2034, according to one research firm. That’s a solid 9.91% compound annual growth rate (CAGR). North America alone represents $10.43 billion of this market, and it’s growing even faster at 10.02% annually.

Trump’s Pro-AI Policies and NVIDIA’s Strategic Shift

Under President Trump’s administration, there’s been a concerted effort to boost American leadership in AI. One such initiative is the Stargate Project, a collaborative venture involving OpenAI, SoftBank (TYO: 9984), Oracle (NYSE: ORCL), and MGX, which aims to invest up to $500 billion in AI infrastructure across the U.S. by 2029.

Aligning with this vision, NVIDIA has unveiled plans to invest hundreds of billions of dollars in U.S.-based manufacturing over the next four years. The move seeks to reduce reliance on Asian supply chains, particularly in light of tariff uncertainties.

Even with all the excitement, NVIDIA’s stock has formed a death cross, a technical pattern that typically signals near-term weakness. But let’s put things in perspective. After meteoric runs in 2023 (when it was up 238%) and 2024 (up 171%), some consolidation is natural, if history is any guide.

I believe these dips can present buying opportunities. NVIDIA’s fundamentals remain incredibly strong. In the fourth quarter of 2024, the company reported record revenue of $39.3 billion and record data center revenue of $35.6 billion. It also reported record full-year revenue of $130.5, more than double the amount generated just a year earlier.

The Future of AI Agents

Sitting in the audience at NVIDIA’s GTC Conference, I could feel the same energy that surrounded the dot-com boom, the rise of mobile computing, and the emergence of cloud technology. Despite near-term market fluctuations, the investment case for AI remains rock solid. It’s clear to me that companies that build AI, use AI, or enable AI infrastructure will shape the global economy in the decades to come.

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